Yep....or investors!Kevster wrote: Being pragmatic, there are very few fans that will take a multi-million dollar hit on an investment for the sake of love for a 30 year old TV show.
Just sayin'...

Moderator: Styles Bitchley
Yep....or investors!Kevster wrote: Being pragmatic, there are very few fans that will take a multi-million dollar hit on an investment for the sake of love for a 30 year old TV show.
Just sayin'...
Hi Kevster,Kevster wrote:As an appraiser and financial analyst, I have to wonder, "What is the real deal with this?"... At least, where and what the value really is.
This would likely fit into the area between a "story" and an "investment opportunity"... I love the estate, the show, and it's got a cool story to the place, but has a HORRIBLE layout by today's standards. Today, people want to see the ocean from INSIDE the house, but the Anderson Estate is configured for the grounds to have the best view. That is a HUGE issue for Functional Obsolescence. As a former appraiser of luxury waterfront homes: this may be the worst layout that I've ever seen. Sorry, but it is. The layout is designed for people from the grounds to enjoy the view, and the house off to one side for getting out of the weather, sleeping, and modest entertaining. It harkens back to the pre-air conditioning culture.
And let me just tell you that Zillow, and other similar sites, have one inherent flaw (like all automated valuation modeling): lack of interpolation of subjective data. It is difficult to know the quality and condition of the interior of any property that hasn't been sold for a period of time. The Anderson Estate is obviously just that. These models all work off data mined through regression analysis, and the accuracy of the data about specific properties becomes less and less relevant as they age. Are they in better or worse condition than other properties of the same age? Were they remodeled? If they were, did the costs stated during the permitting process actually reflect what was spent? Were the costs understated in permitting so that the taxes would be lower? (Nah, that never happens...) Does this property conform to the expectations of the market for design, quality, and condition? All these issues being present in a unique property cause deviation from the norm in the model, and usually won't be rebalanced until there is a sale of the unique property. Hence, why I'm wondering what the real deal is.
The value of the land is not entirely objective, but is the closest thing to it. I have no idea what the price per front foot is for ocean front land in that area, but that would give us the likely baseline for land value.
Other than what the development regulations would allow to be built on the land, the house condition and feasibility are the BIG VARIABLES. Costs to update, how up to date a restored house would actually be, and the fact that there is a quasi-historical sense about the house and grounds are all factors. The house and other improvements may actually have a NEGATIVE value, but anyone buying it might be reluctant to choose the burden of demolishing the place when there are other redevelopment opportunities out there.
If the inside is dated, and the ceiling heights are too low, someone looking for a place on the ocean would probably be even more hesitant to make that investment. If the ceiling heights are high enough and the structure is sound, someone might be willing to update it. What's the best we know about the current condition of the interior? Is it a gut and completely redo? These answers would also tell a lot.
In my experience with Palm Beach, Jupiter Island, and other similar areas: real money rarely buys a house to leave it the same. Additionally: they are often willing to pay a premium to get WHAT THEY WANT. If the capacity to update it isn't there, then the value is in the land and the improvements typically go. If the structures don't have a real "story" that warrants that they be restored or preserved in some way, they get altered.
Being pragmatic, there are very few fans that will take a multi-million dollar hit on an investment for the sake of love for a 30 year old TV show.
Just sayin'...
Hey Kevster and Kenji,KENJI wrote: The inside of the main house is a complete gut right down to new plumbing and electrics. New roof put on a few years ago.
The outside envelope is suppose to be in good condition with very thick walls, but you would want to have that checked as well. I think when it was first built there was probably an excellent view out of the backside of the main house (discussed in previous posts with other members) and even out front (refer to old HF0 footage), but tree growth and more home development closed that window. I think the home would be nicer turned more towards the ocean, BUT I think it was designed to also protect it from the wind etc.....i.e. the courtyard has protection from the ocean side. I'm sure Pahonu will have a few things to add as he knows a bit more about this design. The boathouse is in terrible condition and most likely not salvageable, plus it falls in the current setback area which means there is a good chance it can't be rebuilt it the exact location or even worse not at all.....there might be some sort of grandfather clause allowing for it, but more follow up would be needed before knowing for sure. The guesthouse is suppose to be in good condition....I'm thinking that means compared to the other two structures! It would need an inspection in my books just to be safe.
I hope that helps.
Kevster wrote:As all the posts (subsequent to my last one) address to some degree is the fact that the shape of the house allows for circulation of air. Obviously pre air conditioning homes had that. All other facets of the shape and configuration of the house make sense for their time. That's the issue exactly. Functional Obsolescence references non-coherence to the modern tastes and standards. Like a Six Bedroom/One Bath House... It works, but not many people would want it built that way. The value is impacted...
My observations are of two items:
1. As most of the structure is (essentially) perpendicular to the beach, there is an impeded view (by today's standards).
2. The ceiling heights are about what I expected, and still very low for modern homes. Ten feet on the first floor is NOT worst case of eight feet, but still pretty low for oceanfront. The eight foot ceilings on the second floor isn't as much of an issue for a home that is decades old. People looking at older homes would accept that.
The more I've thought about this, the more I realize that using the house for one VERY successful show has probably hurt the current value of the property. If you buy it, restoring or updating only the interior gives the owner somewhat less than they would have elsewhere... If they buy, demolish it, and rebuild what they want, they may end up with other problems. Like....
Who would like to be the person that flattened Robin's Nest from Magnum PI? A little fan blowback isn't going to be a welcome thing for most buyers.
If you are a moderately wealthy and private individual, do you want that hassle, or another type of hassle in people always wanting to stroll up behind your house?
None of that will matter in twenty years as the number of people making the connection will be so few, but it can't be appealing to any buyer...
Reconfiguring the kitchen area would most certainly happen if the place isn't torn down. The sad part is, and I said this from the beginning, I don't think a buyer who wants to restore the place will be found. The land with its views are the most valuable part, and subdividing it into a half dozen or so homes worth a few million each makes the most economic sense. Besides that, this was an architect designed home for a particular piece of property and a particular family's needs in a particular era that is long gone. There aren't a whole lot, if any, potential buyers that will have these same requirements and wishes. Someone wealthy enough to buy it is likely to want something very different, and it won't survive. It's actually quite unusual that it has gone over 80 years without any major renovations. Sadly, I think it's going to be bought by a developer, but I'm hoping otherwise....unless, as you said, one of us wins the lottery.Kevster wrote:It's been a while since I looked at the sketch-up model of the house, but my comments were really tainted by the thoughts of a previous statement about the inside needing to be virtually gutted and redone. In thinking that, I was naturally presuming the configuration of the rooms would be changed.
Hey!!! When one of us wins the lottery and buys the place, maybe the inside can be redone to more closely resemble the Robin's Nest layout of the interior... If you are going lose a bundle on an investment of the heart, it might as well be whole-hearted!
Thanks Pahonu!
My pleasure.Kevster wrote:Definitely not much can be seen through that!!! Wow. Doesn't seem to be "prepped for marketing" at all. In an effort to be nice, maybe it's more camouflage than neglect?
Thanks for posting them!
Agreed.......and seconded...(welcome i.e.)terryfromkerry wrote:Hi midnightx.
I liked this insightful postwelcome to Magnum Mania
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